With the rapid advancement of technology, autonomous driving has transitioned from a science fiction fantasy to a tangible reality.

The maturity of autonomous driving technology will not only significantly change the way we travel but also have a profound impact on various aspects of society.

In this context, the future of human driving has become a topic worthy of in-depth discussion.

Prospects

The progress of autonomous driving technology can be divided into several stages, ranging from driver assistance systems to fully autonomous driving systems.

Many vehicles already have partial autonomous driving functions, such as lane-keeping, adaptive cruise control, and automated parking. The application of these features has improved driving safety and convenience, while also laying the groundwork for the realization of fully autonomous driving.

Fully autonomous driving systems, which require no human intervention, are expected to become widespread within the next few decades gradually. According to some optimistic forecasts, fully autonomous vehicles may become the mainstream mode of transportation around 2030. This transformation is not just a technological advancement but also a revolution at the societal, economic, and legal levels.

Changes in the Human Role

As autonomous driving technology becomes more prevalent, the role of human driving will inevitably change.

First, driving will gradually shift from a necessary skill to an optional activity. In the future, many vehicles may no longer require traditional steering wheels and pedals, and the driver's role will become more of a monitoring and commanding position rather than actively controlling the vehicle.

However, this does not mean that human driving will completely disappear. Manual driving may become a recreational activity, similar to horseback riding or sailing today. For some driving enthusiasts, driving will remain a way to express individuality, enjoy freedom, and seek thrills. In certain scenarios, such as motorsports, off-road driving, or classic car collections, the allure of manual driving may not diminish; on the contrary, it may become even more precious due to its rarity.

Safety and Ethical Challenges

One of the significant advantages of autonomous driving technology lies in its potential to enhance safety. According to the World Health Organization, approximately 1.35 million people die in traffic accidents each year, the majority of which are caused by human error.

Autonomous driving technology can significantly reduce accident rates by minimizing these errors. However, technology is not foolproof, and failures in autonomous driving systems could lead to severe consequences, especially in emergencies where algorithmic decisions may struggle to meet societal ethical standards.

Therefore, the ethical issues surrounding autonomous driving technology are sparking widespread discussion. For example, in unavoidable collision scenarios, should an autonomous driving system prioritize the protection of vehicle occupants or pedestrians? This "moral machine" dilemma requires technical solutions, societal consensus, and clear legal regulations.

Socio-Economic Impact

The widespread adoption of autonomous driving technology will also bring profound socio-economic impacts.

First, many driving-related occupations may gradually disappear or transform. Professions such as truck drivers, taxi drivers, and delivery personnel will face competition from autonomous vehicles, which may lead to significant job losses. However, the introduction of new technologies will also create new employment opportunities in areas such as the maintenance of autonomous vehicles, data analysis, and safety management.

Moreover, autonomous driving technology may change our urban layout and lifestyle. With the proliferation of driverless fleets, shared mobility will become more efficient and convenient, possibly leading to a gradual decrease in private car ownership. The demand for parking lots and gas stations will also decrease, resulting in more rational use of urban space. In the long run, this shift will help reduce traffic congestion, lower pollution levels, and improve the urban environment.

Conclusion

In the future, autonomous driving and human driving will coexist, each playing to its strengths in different scenarios.

Through the combined efforts of technology, ethics, and law, we can hope to achieve a balance that ensures traffic safety and efficiency while preserving the freedom and enjoyment of human driving. This balance will be not only a victory for technology but also a testament to human wisdom and creativity.